Suns vs. Cavaliers NBA expert prediction and odds for Monday, March 11 (Lay points with Suns)

Betting odds, pick and prediction for the Phoenix Suns-Cleveland Cavaliers matchup in the NBA on Monday.

Phoenix Suns forward Kevin Durant.
Phoenix Suns forward Kevin Durant. / Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Phoenix Suns and Cleveland Cavaliers are both struggling a bit as of late, going just 5-5 over their last 10 games, but they could make a move in the playoff standings with a win on Monday night. 

Phoenix enters this game as a road favorite with some injury uncertainty looming for Cleveland. The team has been down Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley as of late, and it could be without them again on the second night of a back-to-back on Monday. 

Meanwhile, the Suns appear to be getting Devin Booker (probable) back on the floor after losing to the Boston Celtics on Saturday night despite a 45-point game from Kevin Durant. 

Does Booker’s return lead to a Suns win? Oddsmakers sure seem to think so. 

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Let’s dive into the odds and my best bet for this matchup: 

Suns vs. Cavaliers odds, spread and total

Suns vs. Cavaliers how to watch

  • Date: Monday, March 11
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
  • How to watch (TV): Bally Sports Ohio, Arizona’s Family Sports
  • Suns record: 37-27
  • Cavs record: 41-23

Suns vs. Cavaliers injury reports

Suns injury report

  • Devin Booker – probable
  • Eric Gordon – out
  • Damion Lee – out
  • Nassir Little – out
  • Josh Okogie – out

Cavs injury report

  • Not submitted yet

Suns vs. Cavaliers key players to watch

Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant: Durant had a 45-point masterpiece in his last game against Boston, but it wasn’t enough for the Suns to get a win. KD is averaging 28.3 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game this season while shooting 52.9 percent from the field and 42.3 percent from 3. 

Cleveland Cavaliers

Darius Garland: A lot has fallen on the shoulders of Garland with Mitchell out of the lineup, and he had a big game in a win over Minnesota last week, scoring 34 points and dishing out eight dimes. He was held to just 14 points in the blowout loss to Brooklyn, but he’ll need to step up tonight for the Cavs to have a chance to pull off the upset.  

Suns vs. Cavaliers prediction and pick

This is a tough matchup for the Cavs with the possibility that both Mobley and Mitchell sit out this game. 

Cleveland is coming off a bad loss at home to the Brooklyn Nets, and the team is now playing the second night of a back-to-back, a spot where it is just 3-7-1 against the spread on the season. 

Let’s not be mistaken, the Suns have not been great as road favorites (7-10-1 against the spread), but the team should get Booker back in this one. 

The Suns have a lot more firepower than this Cavs team that also has been down Max Strus, meaning three starters could be sitting for Cleveland tonight. 

The Cavs have come back to earth a bit after a great start to 2024, winning just five of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Suns could finally have their Big 3 back in business, where they are clearly the best version of themselves. 

I’ll lay the points here with Phoenix in an unfavorable spot for Cleveland.  

Pick: Suns -6 (-110)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.