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Rockets vs. Suns NBA expert prediction and odds for Thursday, Feb. 29 (Target Total)

By Reed Wallach

Feb 25, 2024; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) and forward Royce O'Neale
Feb 25, 2024; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) and forward Royce O'Neale / Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
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The Phoenix Suns' push to get outside the Play-In Tournament continues at home against the Houston Rockets.

Phoenix lost at Houston last week but will look to even the score against the Rockets, who have fallen out of playoff contention over the last month or so. Houston has had immense struggles on the road, can this set up for a blowout Suns victory?

Let's take a look at the odds and find a best bet:

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Rockets vs. Suns Odds, Spread and Total

Suns vs. Rockets Betting Trends

  • The Rockets are 9-18-1 against the spread (ATS) on the road this season
  • The Suns are 25-32-1 ATS this season
  • The Rockets have gone UNDER in 21 of 39 games as an underdog this season (1 push)

Rockets vs. Suns Injury Reports

Rockets Injury Report

  • Tari Eason - OUT

Suns Injury Report

  • Jusuf Nurkic - probable
  • Eric Gordon - questionable
  • Bradley Beal - questionable

Rockets vs. Suns How to Watch

  • Date: Thursday, February 29th
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM EST
  • Venue: Footprint Center
  • How to Watch (TV): AZFamily
  • Rockets Record: 25-33
  • Suns Record: 34-24

Rockets vs. Suns Key Players to Watch

Rockets

Alperen Sengun: Sengun had a solid outing last Friday at home, scoring 17 points while grabbing 12 rebounds and dishing out four assists in the Rockets' tight win. The young center can be a matchup nightmare for teams that don't have depth at center, which the Suns are short on. Can Sengun provide more issues for Phoenix's defense?

Suns

Devin Booker: The Rockets made life difficult for Booker, who made only seven of his 24 field goal attempts last Friday, but it's tough to keep a shotmaker like him down yet again. The All-Star guard is averaging north of 27 points with almost five rebounds and seven assists while shooting nearly 50% from the field.

Rockets vs. Suns Prediction and Pick

Both games have gone under this total, and I'll stick with that bet in the third meeting between Western Conference foes.

The Rockets have fallen off a cliff when it leaves Houston, posting a -6.8 net rating on the road this season. The team falls to the bottom half of the league in terms of points allowed per 100 possessions, per NBA.com, and is 24th in offensive rating on the road.

I believe that Houston will struggle more on offense, but its defense, which has the wing defenders to continue to pester Booker, will hold up to keep this game to an average scoring rate.

Last Friday's matchup closed with a total of 235 with the game landing 11 points below that. Sure, there's a slight adjustment down, but not enough. I'm going under again with the Rockets' porous road offense.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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