For the fourth time this season, the Los Angeles Lakers and Phoenix Suns square off, and I think there is some value in the prop market in this game.
We’ve seen this matchup plenty of times this season, and it’s given us a good read into how these teams play against each other. I have a prop for Kevin Durant tonight that I love for that reason, as well as a Laker that bettors should consider wagering on.
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Let’s dive into the picks:
Suns vs. Lakers best NBA prop bets
- Kevin Durant OVER 26.5 points
- Devin Booker UNDER 4.5 rebounds
- Austin Reaves OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Kevin Durant OVER 26.5 points
Kevin Durant is averaging 29.6 points per game on the season, and he’s torched the Lakers in the first three meetings between these teams, dropping 39, 38, and 31 points in those contests.
While Bradley Beal and Devin Booker are going to play in this game, I still think Durant is a solid bet to go OVER, as he’s coming off a 30-point game on just 17 shots.
Durant has 27 or more points in 23 of his 30 games this season. He’s a must-bet at this discounted number.
Devin Booker UNDER 4.5 rebounds
I’ve been fading Devin Booker often lately in my NBA Best Bets column on BetSided, and I wrote up why I’m doing it yet again on Thursday:
“Back to the well, fading Devin Booker, who hasn’t grabbed a rebound for Phoenix in back-to-back games, going under 4.5 boards in 11 of his last 13 games.
“Over that stretch, Booker is averaging just 3.3 boards per game, and his season-long average has dipped to just 4.8 per game.
“The Lakers aren’t the best rebounding team, but I expect this game to be slowed down compared to most Lakers games, as Phoenix ranks 28th in the NBA in pace.
“This season, Booker is averaging 9.5 rebound chances per game, but that number has dipped all the way down to 7.4 over his last 15 games. I can’t take the OVER here. Oddsmakers are failing to adjust to this cold stretch.”
Austin Reaves OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Austin Reaves has failed to make multiple shots from deep in three straight games, going 1-for-12 from 3 over that stretch.
However, he was on a hot streak before that, hitting two or more 3-pointers in 11 of his previous 14 games.
Tonight, I’m jumping back on the train after Reaves attempted six shots from 3 in the team’s win over the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday night.
Reaves is shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc, but the Suns don’t defend the deep ball well, ranking 16th in the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage.
If the volume is there for Reaves like it has been as of late (at least three attempts from 3 in every game since Nov. 27), he’s a good bet to go OVER this prop.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.