Best NBA prop bets today for Suns vs. Bucks (Kevin Durant primed to bounce back)

Two of the top contenders to win the NBA Finals in the 2023-24 season face off in a matinee matchup in Milwaukee on Sunday. 

I am not a fan of either of these squads when it comes to betting on a side, as they are both under .500 against the spread overall in the 2023-24 season. 

That brings me to the prop market, and with so many stars in action (Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Bradley Beal, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard), there are plenty of picks to make. 

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Here are my three favorites for the standalone matchup between these two Finals contenders:

Suns vs. Bucks best NBA prop bets

• Kevin Durant OVER 25.5 points
• Damian Lillard OVER 3.5 3-pointers made

Kevin Durant OVER 25.5 points

After a four-game stretch where he scored 35 or more points in each matchup, KD scored 20 in a loss to Boston and 13 in a win against Charlotte. 

That has lowered his points prop back to 25.5 in this game, a perfect number to buy low on. 

KD still took 19 and 15 shots in those two games, and he’s attempted at least 19 shots in 11 of his last 13 games. 

Durant had 28 points on 11-of-21 shooting in his last meeting with the Bucks, and he’s still averaging 28.1 points per game despite playing more with Beal and Booker both healthy. I love KD at this discounted number on Sunday. 

Damian Lillard OVER 3.5 3-pointers made

With Giannis Antetokounmpo questionable, in this game, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Damian Lillard handle more of the offensive workload in this one. 

Dame has struggled in his last two games, scoring 10 and 17 points while making just three shots from beyond the arc, but I think this could be a bounce-back spot for him. 

While Lillard sat the first time these teams faced off, the Suns are a favorable matchup for him – at least from beyond the arc. Phoenix ranks 21st in the NBA in opponent 3-pointers made per game, and the team is middle of the pack when it comes to opponent 3-point percentage. 

Lillard, who is shooting 35.2 percent from 3 this season, is going to take the 3-ball at a high volume – averaging 3.5 makes on 8.9 attempts per game since the All-Star break. 

Don’t be shocked if Dame finds the range tonight and hits four or more triples.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.