The Phoenix Suns are looking to keep their winning ways going on Thursday night, and they’ll take on a Utah Jazz team that’s made a few moves ahead of this season’s trade deadline – opening up some value in the prop market.
With Bradley Beal questionable for Phoenix, there could be some value on Kevin Durant, who is scoring the ball at a high rate, against one of the worst defenses in the NBA.
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Let’s break down three props for this Western Conference showdown:
Jazz vs. Suns best NBA prop bets
- Kevin Durant OVER 27.5 points
- John Collins OVER 6.5 rebounds
- Collin Sexton OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Kevin Durant OVER 27.5 points
Kevin Durant has scored 28 or more points in three of his last four games, and he’s averaging 28.3 points per game on the season.
Durant has been crazy efficient, shooting 53.7 percent from the field and 45.5 percent from beyond the arc. With Beal questionable, he could see his usage jump in a big way in this game.
I also love this matchup, as Utah has allowed 118, 147, 122, 108, 153, and 127 points in the team’s last six road games. The Suns should feast against this defense, especially with Utah being short-handed after executing multiple trades in the last two days.
John Collins OVER 6.5 rebounds
I love this prop for John Collins, who could see an expanded role after the Jazz dealt Simone Fontecchio and Kelly Olynyk in the last two days.
Collins is averaging eight rebounds per game this season, putting up at least seven boards in eight straight games.
On the season, he has 28 games with at least seven boards in 48 total appearances. Phoenix does rank seventh in the NBA in rebounding percentage, but this number is too low for Collins on Thursday.
Collin Sexton OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Utah guard Collin Sexton has shot the ball well from 3 over his last 15 games, hitting multiple shots from deep in 11 of those matchups.
Sexton is shooting 47.8 percent from 3 over that stretch, attempting 4.6 3-pointers per game. He’s pushed his season-long 3-point percentage to 38.3 percent with his hot stretch.
Phoenix is in the middle of the pack in 3-point defense, allowing over 13 made shots from deep per game while opponents are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc against them. Sexton is worth a shot to stay hot on Thursday.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.