The Phoenix Suns are starting to find a groove with Devin Booker, Bradley Beal, and Kevin Durant all healthy, but the prop market has been a little more volatile for all three players now that they’re playing together.
Tonight, they take on the Sacramento Kings, and I’m looking to decipher which players deserve a nod in the prop market. Using data from some of the team’s most recent games, here’s who I settled on to target:
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Kings vs. Suns best NBA prop bets
- Devin Booker UNDER 12.5 assists and rebounds
- Domantas Sabonis to record a triple-double
- Kevin Durant OVER 26.5 points
Devin Booker UNDER 12.5 assists and rebounds
Devin Booker has been a fade candidate for me in rebounding props, but he’s failed to clear this combined assist and rebounds prop in 11 of his last 15 games.
Plus, his chances for both rebounds and assists are taking a hit with the Suns Big 3 all healthy. Here’s how:
Devin Booker assist chances per game
- Season average: 13.6
- Last 15 games: 12.7
- Last 10 games: 10.3
- Last 5 games: 9.2
Booker is seeing nearly 4.5 fewer chances to pick up an assist over his last five games, three of which have been played with both Durant and Beal in the lineup.
Devin Booker rebound chances per game
- Season average: 9.4
- Last 15 games: 7.4
- Last 10 games: 8.0
- Last 5 games: 8.5
While Booker’s rebounding chances have gone up as of late, he’s still down based on his season’s average.
Over his last 15 games, Booker is averaging just 7.1 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game. He’s a must-fade for me in this prop.
Domantas Sabonis to record a triple-double
Domantas Sabonis is playing some of the best basketball of his career, recording five triple-doubles since New Year’s Eve. Since Dec. 26 (11 games), Sabonis is averaging 23.1 points, 14.1 rebounds, and 8.8 assists per game for the Kings.
The All-Star big man has 10 triple-doubles on the season, and he’s certainly turned things on as of late in that department. I think we’re getting decent value on him at +250 considering he’s recorded one in five of his last nine games.
Kevin Durant OVER 26.5 points
Kevin Durant has been under this prop in back-to-back games, but he’s allowed Devin Booker and Bradley Beal to thrive scoring the ball.
KD has attempted just 12 and 16 shots in those games, but I think he can get back to his usual scoring ways against a Kings team that plays at a fast pace (11th in the NBA) and ranks just 17th in defensive rating.
Even with his downturn in scoring with all three of the Big 3 healthy, KD has scored 27 or more points in 23 of his 32 games. He’s always worth a shot when his prop number drops.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.