3-on-3: 2012 Draft edition

Posted by on June 27th, 11:49 am

The Phoenix Suns’ franchise is at a crossroads. Before the free agency fun when the team can either make a big move or two to get back into contention, bring back the same team and make a run at the No. 8 seed again or blow things up, they must make a draft pick with their immediate and distance future being such a mystery. What are the Suns’ biggest needs? Should they pick for need or best available? Who should they select? We answer those questions in this edition of 3-on-3.

What’s the Suns’ biggest need heading into the draft?

Michael Schwartz: Please stop me if I sound like a broken record player, but they need a future franchise star and along with him some direction. I pity the Suns’ front office for having to formulate a draft plan without even knowing if Steve Nash will be captaining the ship or if a new era of Suns basketball is upon us. Either way they need some star power and a go-to scoring threat from the wing. If Nash were to depart, add point guard of the future (present?) to the list.

Mike Schmitz: More than anything the Suns just need young talent, and luckily for them most of that talent comes in the form of guards and floor generals, two of Phoenix’s biggest holes. The Suns could desperately use a point guard of the future, as even if Steve Nash returns there certainly are no Jamie Moyers in basketball and he’ll eventually have to hang up the sneaks. They also need a wing who can create his own shot and defend. In a nutshell the Suns should draft the best available point guard or shooting guard who they think best fits their system.

Kevin Zimmerman: Not only do the Suns need someone able to pour in the points, but they need a rookie who can do so without much help from his teammates whether Steve Nash returns or not. At the very least, they need a guard or wing who is more than a one-dimensional scorer. Though they score in different ways, if slasher Dion Waiters or jumper shooter Terrence Ross are available at No. 13, Phoenix should go with one of the two.

Should the Suns draft for need or best available?

Michael Schwartz: In general I’m a fan of Chad Ford’s tier system whereby you group players in tiers and then rank them by need within the tier. However, with the Suns craving elite talent so badly, they really need to take the best player on their board. If you are one piece away and possess a glaring weakness I could understand trying to fill a need, but where the Suns are sitting they must select the most talented player left.

Mike Schmitz: I think a point guard is the Suns’ biggest need but if Dion Waiters were to drop to No. 13 and Kendall Marshall were still on the board the Suns should go with Waiters, the better talent of the two. Need isn’t as important for a team with basically no direction and very little talent. No one is “off limits” in the trade market and few players are locked up long term. The Suns simply someone who can put the ball in the hole, it just happens to be that said player will most likely fill a need given who’s expected to be available at No. 13.

Kevin Zimmerman: In a draft this deep, Phoenix should go with a sure-thing who has the potential to be a home run. That said, the Suns need to be ready for the player of their dreams to slip to their pick, and even if it happens to be a big — where they’re set with Marcin Gortat, Channing Frye and Markieff Morris — Phoenix should take the best available option. If they’re confident in Jared Sullinger’s back health or don’t believe in Perry Jones’ being a risk, then they should go for it.

Who should the Suns draft?

Michael Schwartz: If Dion Waiters is there as he was in NBADraft.net’s Mock Draft 6.0, the choice is easy. The Hollinger Draft Rater projects the Cuse product to be a future star and Ford has him in Tier 3, making him a top player by that system as well. He’s got more star power than your typical No. 13 pick and could be the kind of go-to scoring weapon the Suns so desperately need. If he’s gone (as he likely will be), I’m high on Terrence Ross. He’s got NBA shooting range and athleticism and would be a great fit in the Suns’ fast-paced system. As a productive catch-and-shoot player he would work well with Nash and could be a solid if not spectacular building block for the future. Although he doesn’t possess the upside of risky players like Austin Rivers and Perry Jones, Ross seems to be the kind of pick the Suns would make based on their Markieff Morris selection last season.

Mike Schmitz: The advanced stats say stay away. His shot selection suggests the same. But Austin Rivers has a will to be great and a killer instinct that no other player expected to be there at 13 has. Oh yeah, he can play a little bit, too. Rivers can get his shot off against anybody at any time, a skill coveted at the next level, especially for a team struggling to find offense outside of Nash. The Suns have always had trouble finding that guy to take a big shot. They’ve always melted late in games as their pick-and-roll-heavy offense was sniffed out by better defenses. Rivers doesn’t need a pick. He may take bad shots and have bad percentages, win share values, etc., but Rivers is a shot-maker and can score now at the NBA level. He’s also a legitimate 6-foot-5 with a killer crossover and above-average ability to get in the lane. There are tons of reasons people will stay away from Rivers. But because of his mentality, pedigree, and scoring ability the Suns should take him if he’s on the board at 13.

Kevin Zimmerman: Assuming that Dion Waiters and Damian Lillard continue their assents up the mock draft boards across the interwebs, an available and sure-fire pick would be for Phoenix to take Terrence Ross at 13th overall. Even if they drop, bigs Jared Sullinger and Perry Jones are too big of risks in my opinion, and the Suns need a creator or scorer. Any of the best available guards or wings is a solid choice. Though Kendall Marshall’s potential to be the next Andre Miller is tempting, Ross fills an immediate need. He can get off a jumper off screens or in pick-and-rolls, and if he works on his slashing ability, he’ll be a double-digit scorer sooner rather than later. He’s a willing and able defender as well.

Michael Schwartz founded ValleyoftheSuns in October 2008 and is the owner/editor emeritus of the site. He is currently working toward his MBA in sports business at San Diego State University.

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Tags: Draft · Phoenix Suns · Phoenix Suns Analysis

11 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Yohamce // Jun 27, 2012 at 1:58 pm

    What if the suns were able to package a trade to get Gasol
    from the Lakers. Let say we offered our 13th pick or
    a future pick in for next year. We included Warrick, J-Chill, Frye, or Morris him. Then pick up say Mayo from Memphis and resigned Hill. Would this be enough to entice Nash to stay?

  • 2 Scott // Jun 27, 2012 at 4:09 pm

    There’s so many good players in this draft I wish the Suns could take a half dozen of them.

    However, if he’s on the board when they pick, they must take Kendall Marshall. From what I can tell, neither his offense nor his defense are as bad as one might think. He’s only 20, so his offense will improve. He just needs to play a lot of one-on-one with his teammates (as Nash and Dirk did), and he’ll get better.

    But after having Kidd and Nash for so many years, Phoenix wants and expects to have a floor general. Marshall is that guy, if he falls to 13.

    And if Nash does return to the Suns, finally he’ll have a backup who can run the team like he does. :)

  • 3 Ty-Sun // Jun 27, 2012 at 4:10 pm

    I like both Waiters and Ross. If they are both available at 13 (unlikely) I’d take Waiters but I wouldn’t shed any tears over taking Ross instead. Forget about drafting ANY PG this year whether Nash stays or goes. No one is going to replace Nash right away, especially a rookie. There will be a few starting PG caliber PGs on the FA market that will be an upgrade over Telfair and run the offense well if Nash leaves. NO ONE available in the draft or free agency will be able to replace Nash so trying to do it would be a big mistake when the Suns have other needs.

  • 4 Scott // Jun 27, 2012 at 4:19 pm

    BTW … has anyone here seen that draft Media Day interview with Waiters? What is UP with that closed-captioning stuff at the bottom of the screen? It is wacky!

    http://www.draftexpress.com/article/2012-NBA-Draft-Media-Day-Interviews-4005

  • 5 Scott // Jun 27, 2012 at 4:28 pm

    FWIW, from the Waiters intervew (first I’ve seen from him), I can see why so many have been drooling over him. His demeanor is like that of Carmelo Anthony. I think he’ll do well in the league and probably be some sort of star, but like Anthony, I’m not sure if he’ll really make his team better.

  • 6 KayGee19 // Jun 27, 2012 at 5:04 pm

    Finally someone that makes sense! & I mean the writer or this article not the 1st comment above, Terrence Ross is made to fill in the holes suns lack, Jeremy Lamb & Dion Waiters would be nice too, a building block for the future! As 4 that Pau Gasol trade, yeah right, so get a washed up player to come in & play with another washed up player & shoot for the 8th seed again! No way you give up on youth athleticism & talent at this point for the suns, this era is over two seasons ago, its time to build for the future

  • 7 Ty-Sun // Jun 27, 2012 at 5:43 pm

    I wouldn’t call Pau “washed up” but trading for him makes little sense for the Suns. This team needs to get younger to prepare for the future. And the more I read about Mayo, the less I want to see him in a Suns uni too.

  • 8 Yohance // Jun 27, 2012 at 5:57 pm

    @KayGee

    I guess Pau Gasol might be a little pass his prime. He is a skilled big man though and should be able to still provide a consistent shot, rebound, and he is still one of the best passing big men in basketball. With that said I would rather go after a younger player like Josh Smith and Mayo. But I am not sure what it would take to get him. The suns definitely need to make sure they focus on getting young talented players.
    I would not mine if they were able to pick up an additional draft pick this year. I hope our FO will push for youth like as seen with the thunder.

  • 9 GoSuns // Jun 28, 2012 at 10:29 am

    Pau would be a great anchor for this team especially if we lose nash and hill, he’s a proven winner and does everything we need in our system

  • 10 Yohance // Jun 28, 2012 at 11:27 am

    Hey guys thanks for the support
    about P. Gasol. I think he would be a great
    asset. I would rather play him with Lopez then Gortat
    though because they seem like they are more of a finesse
    players. Lopez is more of a rim protecter that can have a nasty streak. That being said I think we need a mix of youth to go along with a few veterans. Before we just go all youth which would guarantee the suns to be drafting in the lottery for several years and no playoff home. I might also think about bringing the dragon back from Houston. He has showed that he has grown up and can be a heck of a ball player. I’m not quitevsold on Brooks for a point guard but I like what Telfair brings off of the bench.

  • 11 Kevin Zimmerman // Jun 28, 2012 at 12:12 pm

    I think anyone would love to have Pau, but the Suns have scraps to offer for him. The Hawks and Lakers were talking a Josh Smith/Gasol swap of some sort, so that’s how much he’s valued whether you think he’s washed up or not.

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