Mar 30, 2014; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Michigan Wolverines forward Glenn Robinson III (1) reacts after a basket against the Kentucky Wildcats in the first half of the finals of the midwest regional of the 2014 NCAA Mens Basketball Championship tournament at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

NBA Draft 2014: Glenn Robinson III has lingering questions


Strengths

The son of Glenn “Big Dog” Robinson expectedly has the physical profile of an elite NBA small forward. He is 6-foot-7 with a wingspan approaching 6-foot-10, and Robinson’s athleticism allows him to fill the lanes and finish strong. That made up a large portion of his offense in two years with the Michigan Wolverines. He shot a ridiculous 83 percent at the rim this past year, according to Hoop-Math.com. Averaging 13.1 points and 4.4 rebounds per game in his sophomore season, Robinson showed glimpses of his NBA potential this past season.

Weaknesses

Robinson lacks the ability to be a prolific scorer, leaving question-marks about what he can be. His 32 percent three-point shooting reflected his lack of a jumper, but Robinson also doesn’t have a great ability to get open shots himself — or for that matter create for others. he did shoot 40 percent on two-point jumpers and has a capable mid-range game, but he certainly lost a lot of efficiency between his two college seasons after point guard Trey Burke left for the NBA. Even alongside potential lottery pick Nik Stauskas, Robinson struggled to get involved playing power forward on an undersized team that also included swingman Caris LeVert. Robinson is also one of the worst rebounders among NCAA small forwards and averaged just 5.5 per 40 minutes.

X-factor

Two things can help Robinson turn his athletic talents into NBA production. Developing range on his jumper should help him stretch the floor and play off others, as he has done in his college years. The defensive end could be the bigger issue for Robinson. Though he has the length and athleticism to make a difference on that end, he never quite showed the willingness to grind as a one-on-one defender. There was improvements from his sophomore year in terms of focus, but NBA teams might want to see aggression more than simply focus.

How he would fit with the Suns

At the backend of the first round, the Phoenix Suns might see Robinson as somewhat of a project. He’s 20 years old and with some mentoring from Jeff Hornacek could extend his jumper to three-point range, and thus find himself as a similar threat to his father, who was an excellent scorer throughout his career despite his limited offensive skills. If the Suns end up taking a guard and a power forward with their first picks, trade their first few picks or, more generally, have space on the roster, they could find value with the 27th pick and select a wing such as Robinson.

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  • steppxxxxz

    Hate to use the word soft, but he is kinda soft. Bad rebounding numbers reflect that. I think he *could* really develop in other areas though. Could become a very good shooter, but is always going to be a minus on defense I think.

  • DBreezy

    Does it even matter if the Melo to Miami stuff ESPN and others are reporting comes to fruition? Pat Riley would steal the cigar from Auerbach if he pulls that off. Funny thing is how much more they’d be hated even though they’d pretty much be the only group of stars in modern sports history to repeatedly put their money where their mouths are by taking less $$$ for a chance to win. That wouldn’t make me a Heat fan, but I’d still have respect for what they’re doing in this era.

    • Hawki

      Sounds like less PT for Beasley ;)

      • DBreezy

        It’s amazing that Pat Riley a former player and old school coach, may ultimately prove to be the ultimate capoligist in both the old and new cba. Looking at the Heat’s roster, as far as I can tell if the Big 3 all opt out only Haslem and Norris Cole are definitely under contract for next season. Birdman has a player option, which I’m sure he could be wink-winked out of if need be. He’d probably rather do that and re-sign vs. getting stretched if the Heat really need his cap space. If they can move out of the first round of the draft, they’d have about 5.5M in committed salary next season without Birdman or 6.4M with him. Crazy.

  • 4everis2long

    Just read Randall has to have foot surgery and likely will not be able to play until start of training camp. This could be enough to drop him to a number 7 pick or further (he may have been 7 anyway). Even with the surgery if I am the Suns I would explore a trade to move up (trade 14 and 18 only). While it could be another Len situation where he endures a cumulative injury to the good foot and he is out until Christmas, I think he is worth it. Maybe he drops to 14 but I doubt it. Interested in knowing what the rest of Planet Orange thinks.

    • DBreezy

      I saw the same thing and wondered who leaked it Foreveris, as it appears that he’s still going through workouts as usual. If it causes him to slip to a useful range for the Suns, I’m all for it. There was an article out on Bright Side about the Suns (and presumably other late lottery teams) having trouble getting top-10 guys to work out of for them because of agents. Perhaps this is a salvo back from one of those teams.

      • 4everis2long

        Yeah DB, a lot of jockeying going on at the 23rd hour. It is a bit interesting all of the teams selecting I think 7-13 need immediate help because the pressure is on to win now, perhaps making Randall a bit of a risk for them. We have to stay tune on this one.

      • 4everis2long

        DB, Randall disputes the contention he needs foot surgery. Do not know who started the rumor but Randall and his parents are vehemently denying it. This is really interesting.