Preview: Denver Nuggets (34-28) at Phoenix Suns (33-30)

Posted by on April 21st, 11:45 am

Denver Nuggets 118, Phoenix Suns 107

Nuggets

Suns

PHOENIX — Phoenix Suns head coach Alvin Gentry won’t call anything a must-win. He despises the term, thinks it’s a silly mantra.

“I don’t like the term … you know what I’m talking about,” he said after the Suns beat the Clippers. “I won’t go there. These must-win things, I don’t believe in them. You just have to go out and play, and play extremely hard.”

This one is more of the same.

This one is the Denver Nuggets visiting the Suns this afternoon, a chance for Phoenix to pull within a half game of George Karl’s No. 7 seed. A win would also keep the Suns a nose in front of the Utah Jazz, who Phoenix faces on Tuesday in what we here at ValleyoftheSuns.com have dubbed the biggest game of the season.

The Suns are 0-2 against Denver this season. Steve Nash and company lost 109-92 in February, then 105-99 as veteran Nugget guard Andre Miller took over down the stretch on April 6.

“I think we’re due for a win,” Nash said. “We have to play really well. They’re a tough matchup for us, but you know, we’ve got to come out confident.”

Those matchup problems begin with the Nuggets’ offense — they rank second in pace and lead the league in scoring at 103.5 points per game. They’re also leading the NBA in assists, and they have a bit of a rebounding presence to go with it.

Rookie Kenneth Faried has developed into the rebounding threat and overall energy-generator that he was while playing at Morehead State last season. The trade to acquire JaVale McGee has given the Nuggets an enigmatic shot-blocker behind starter Kosta Koufos, and wings Danilo Gallinari and Corey Brewer can crash the glass as well.

That results in fast breaks, and point guard Ty Lawson leading those might be the biggest concern for Phoenix.

For the Suns themselves, the huge victory against the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday now stands as a question mark. Indeed, Phoenix beat a No. 4 seed in the thick of the elite Western Conference teams, but how they follow that up against a well-rested Nuggets squad — they last played against the Clippers on Wednesday — might be telling.

In other words, how much do they have in the tank?

We’ll see. But win or loss, it’s not the end of the playoff road.

“If you don’t win, does it mean you don’t play the other games?” Gentry said after the win against the Clippers. “No. We have to line up on Saturday and play Denver, and then play Utah and then San Antonio.”

Three keys for Phoenix

Throw him into the fire. Sebastian Telfair might be the key to Phoenix’s success from here on out, because the Suns bench will have to limit a savvy Denver bench. The Nuggets run out a second unit of vets Andre Miller and Al Harrington, along with an athletic duo of Corey Brewer and JaVale McGee. Telfair’s late-game defense against Chris Paul gave Jared Dudley reason to call the pesky defender the “black Sasha Vujacic” but it’s also Telfair’s command of the offense that NBA.com’s John Schuhmann discovered to be exceptional. Before the All-Star break, the offensive rating with Telfair on the floor was an ugly 91.2, but it’s skyrocketed to 104.7 since.

Cut up Koufos. I’m willing to admit I haven’t seen much of Kosta Koufos. But tell me I’m wrong if Marcin Gortat and Steve Nash can’t get him in trouble on the pick-and-rolls. Will he be able to hedge enough to keep Nash from turning his hips toward the bucket? Then will he be able to recover quickly enough to stop the Polish Machine from getting to the cup?

This is also about Gortat, who we’ve had some great back-and-forth in the comments sections about of late. While I’ve been known to be mighty critical of his play, I think it’s safe to assume confidence has been an issue for the center. It’s affected Gortat on both ends of the court, and while Koufos has seen increased minutes after the Nene trade, Gortat is easily the better player on the court.

Focus on scoring in the paint. The Nuggets are one of those teams that can drop 40 in a quarter given the chance, and considering the Suns have at times looked flat against the speedier teams in the league, they have to be careful about their own shot selection. While they can’t win by playing slow-down, gritty ball like they did against the Clippers, Phoenix can make sure it’s getting very open jumpers. If it’s not that, attacking in the paint will also reduce long rebounds and the ensuing fast breaks by guys like Lawson.

Kevin Zimmerman is the lead blogger and editor for Valley of the Suns. He is also editor of AZDesertSwarm.com, an Arizona Wildcats\’ blog, and a contributor at SB Nation and Pac-12.com.

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Tags: Denver Nuggets · Phoenix Suns · Phoenix Suns Preview

5 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Scott // Apr 21, 2012 at 5:29 pm

    Though the Suns were looking in control in the first half, Frye went out with injury and the wheels came off in the 3rd.

    As predicted, the Suns lose to the Nuggets … again.

  • 2 Tony // Apr 21, 2012 at 5:42 pm

    That’s it, Suns are done. Watching the game, the Nuggets reminded me of the Suns before Sarver ruined the franchise. So much speed, athleticism, and energy, all of which are gone from the Suns. Well, let’s see what Mr. Sarver, Mr. Blanks, and Mr. Babby come up with for next year….Oh that’s right, Jamal Crawford is our next savior!

  • 3 RockChucker // Apr 21, 2012 at 7:37 pm

    @ Tony
    These are my thoughts exactly. The Nuggets are just on a whole other level than the Suns. Too good for a draft pick, too crappy for a legit playoff run, always great to be a Suns die-hard.

  • 4 Scott // Apr 22, 2012 at 11:32 am

    @Rock -

    I don’t know that the Nuggets are on a whole ‘nother level. I see somewhat similar teams. The main problem I see is that the Suns didn’t seem to take Faried seriously and shut him down. If the Suns had a dedicated PF defender like Lou Amundson, there’s no way Faried does anything of note in the game.

    As for Lawson and Afflalo, they’re good players, but nothing the Suns shouldn’t be able to counter, as a team.

    Also, I would have been inclined to play both Telfair and Price in a small ball situation, as opposed to Nash and Telfair, in that the Suns can score with Telfair at PG, but they needed more hustle and defense to close the scoring gap.

    Now for something completely different: if the Suns end up drafting another big man, what about the possibility of playing Morris at SF? He’s got the range and appears to have the mobility and perimeter defensive skills, plus that’s where his twin brother is expected to land. Markieff would then essentially be a match-up for players like Gallinari and the recently departed (from the league) Peja Stojakovic.

  • 5 Tony // Apr 22, 2012 at 7:13 pm

    @Scott,

    you would play Price and Telfair together?? Price, the guy who has barely played in more than half a season? Nash helped bring them back late in the third quarter, when they went on an 8-0 run. Then Telfair came in and the lead grew to double digits again.

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