Preview: New Orleans Hornets (41-31) at Phoenix Suns (36-34)

Posted by on March 25th, 10:13 am

New Orleans Hornets 106, Phoenix Suns 100

Hornets

Suns

PHOENIX — With 12 games remaining and a three-game deficit for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference — not to mention a brutal road trip on the horizon — the Phoenix Suns understand their playoff hopes are bleak.

But while Suns fans keep waiting for a Rudy Gay-less Memphis squad to start losing, Phoenix’s best chance at a playoff spot comes in the form of catching the New Orleans Hornets (and staving off the Houston Rockets).

The Suns would need to play four games better than the Grizzlies down the stretch thanks to the three-game lead plus the tiebreaker they hold over the Suns.

The Hornets lead the Suns by four games but it’s just three in the loss column and the Suns have a shot to pin two losses on New Orleans plus gain the tiebreaker during their final 12, starting with tonight’s absolutely must-win game against Chris Paul and the Hornets.

Even if the Suns win both against New Orleans, it will be a tall task with two games remaining against the Spurs and Mavericks, one in Chicago and a home game against Oklahoma City. The Suns essentially need to win all six of their remaining home games and split on the road, and even then they would need a fair bit of help.

But if the Suns don’t beat New Orleans we can forget about all realistic scenarios and start watching the NCAA Tournament to look at lottery picks.

The Hornets will be arriving to town late after a wild overtime win that essentially knocked the Utah Jazz out of playoff contention. New Orleans needed a buzzer-beating Emeka Okafor awkward jumper on a length of the floor pass to send it to OT, where they prevailed.

However, the news was not all good in Salt Lake for the Hornets as star forward David West appeared to blow out his knee after a gruesome fall on a drive that resulted in him being carried out on a wheelchair. West averages 18.9 points and 7.6 rebounds per game and combines with Paul on a bread-and-butter pick-and-roll, so if the injury is as serious as it appears his presence will be sorely missed, especially Friday in what could be a shell shock game for the Hornets facing the possibility of missing West the rest of the season.

Even without West, the Hornets’ lead is lengthy enough and the Suns’ schedule is daunting enough that the Hollinger Playoff Odds giving Phoenix just a 6.2 percent chance of reaching postseason play doesn’t seem far from the truth, especially considering how well Houston is playing these days.

But if the Suns want to extend hope into next week, they have no choice but to beat the Hornets.

“We’ve got two good teams coming in that’s in the playoffs,” Aaron Brooks said. “If you want to be there you’ve got to win those games.”

And 1

Michael Pina of Shaky Ankles gives us video of Nash crossing up CP3.

Michael Schwartz founded ValleyoftheSuns in October 2008 and is the owner/editor emeritus of the site. He is currently working toward his MBA in sports business at San Diego State University.

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Tags: New Orleans Hornets · Phoenix Suns · Phoenix Suns Preview

5 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Zak // Mar 25, 2011 at 12:15 pm

    While I truly wish West the best and hope his injury isn’t that serious I’m still glad he won’t be playing tonight against the Suns. With so few games left in this season the Suns are going to need every bit of luck they can get to make the playoffs. Logic tells me that it’s best for the future of the team to NOT make the playoffs this year but but my heart still hopes for that Cinderella run to that 8th spot in the playoffs and a miraculous run through the playoffs to make it to the finals. My head tells me it will never happen but my heart still has hope. I suppose that’s what really loving a team is all about. You never give up hope even though all logic is against you. Go Suns!

  • 2 Zak // Mar 25, 2011 at 3:03 pm

    Crap. West has a torn ACL. I know this isn’t the appropriate place to voice my concern for an opposing team’s player but I’m doing it anyway. I hate hearing that any athlete has had a serious injury. I’d never wish that on anyone no matter what team they play for.

  • 3 Kyle // Mar 25, 2011 at 10:59 pm

    Not to sound sceptical, but it my book the playoff chances just died tonight. We shouldn’t be “tanking” games- but giving the young guys time to develop. And if it helps us get better lottery draft odds, that’s a plus too. Agree?

  • 4 Josh // Mar 25, 2011 at 11:06 pm

    I agree Kyle–but then again maybe I am still just too dispirited.

  • 5 Zak // Mar 26, 2011 at 4:42 pm

    Yep, as much as I hate to admit it, I think the Suns are done this year. As Kyle said, it’s time to start evaluating the younger guys for the future by giving them more playing time now. There are just 11 games left this season, we’re 3 games back from Memphis for the 8th spot with Houston also in between us and them and Utah only one game behind us. Only 3 of our remaining 11 games are against teams with worse records (Sacramento and then Minnesota twice). We’ll be lucky to win 5 of those 11 games and finish at .500 for the season. I still love the Suns and will hope for miracles but maybe the best path to a miracle is by playing the younger guys, hoping that they step up and bring in some unexpected wins. Even if they don’t, it will help us next year.

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