A Quick Take on the Suns Record, the “February Surge” and Playoff Odds


The Suns, entering tonight game against Houston are 32-29, only 2 games back of Memphis currently 8th in the Conference.

Phoenix is 14-23 (.378) against winning teams (with record above .500) and 18-6 (.750) against sub .500 teams. Nothing new here as it seems like the Suns have been struggling against the best teams forever. On a monthly basis the Suns record looks like this: October 1-2 (3), November 7-7 (11), December 6-8 (8), January 8-7 (8), February 9-3 (5), March 1-2 (2).

Did you already guess what’s the little numbers in brackets ? You got it, it’s the number of games the Suns have played against “good” teams, those at .500 or better.   

We’ve all been hearing about the great surge in the Suns performance in February but I believe it has more to do with the (low) quality of opponents than with a real improvement in the Suns performance. During last five weeks the Suns beat Milwaukee (twice), Golden State twice, Sacramento, Toronto, Indiana and New Jersey (pre Deron Williams), not really the ’96 Bulls, while losing to OKC (twice), Utah (twice), Dallas, Atlanta and Boston.

Where do we go from here, well…the Suns have 21 games left. It will make little difference if those are at home (10) or on the road (11) as Phoenix is 17-13 at home and 15-16 away from the Valley. The Suns are 8-10 against winning teams at home, anyway.  

Of those 21 games left, 14 are against winning teams starting with Houston tonight (a bit scary, isn’t it?) and only 7 against losers (so to speak).

Another key element in the drive to the Playoffs should be about winning close games. Considering games as close those decided by 5 points or less and all OT games the Suns are 10-12. It’s interesting to note that of those 22 “close” games, 7 were against losing teams (in which the Suns are 3-4).  

Where do we go from here? To the Playoffs? I doubt as the Suns look to me like the perfect .500 team.

Yours truly,

Luca, the Steve Fan

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